Latest projection gives leftwing bloc 91 seats in the next parliament, with the rightwing bloc at 78
Nordic correspondent
Johannes Bergh, the research director and principal investigator at the Norwegian national election studies programme at the Institute for Social Research, says it is looking “very close” but that the centre-left is in the lead.
The populist rightwing Progress party is, he adds, “doing very well” though.
… and on that note, it’s a wrap!
French prime minister François Bayrou has been ousted in a confidence vote after only nine months in office (19:00), collapsing his minority government and plunging France into a political crisis (19:03, 19:12)
Bayrou will hand his resignation to Emmanuel Macron, his longterm centrist ally, on Tuesday morning (19:10), with the president expected to name his successor “in the coming days” (19:38, 19:51).
The decision comes after a turbulent parliament sitting, with opposition lawmakers blaming Macron’s political choices and Bayrou’s unwillingness to engage with their criticism for deepening the crisis, just days ahead of a “Block Everything” protest in France (14:06, 15:52, 16:12, 17:29, 17:38, 17:42, 18:01).
In his speech, Bayrou argued that France needed to face dramatic reforms on debt (15:15) and reinvent its social model (15:10) to reverse the trend of “getting poorer a little more” every year and renew the French social contract with future generations (15:24, 15:28).
Separately, Marine Le Pen’s appeal against a conviction of misappropriating EU funds will be heard in January next year, a Paris court decided (14:31).
Elsewhere,
The Norwegian Labour party looked likely to remain in government as polls closed on Monday night, as preliminary results showed the centre-left had a narrow lead after a polarised election that saw a surge of support for the populist right (21:03, 21:05, 21:14, 21:16, 21:18, 21:23, 21:32, 22:20).
The German chancellor, Friedrich Merz, has warned that Russian president Vladimir Putin’s “imperialist plan wouldn’t end with the conquest of Ukraine but would rather be just the start” (14:57).
EU diplomats have been briefing journalists that the European Commission is expected to propose a 19th package of sanctions against Russia by Friday (14:58).
And that’s all from me, Jakub Krupa, for today.
If you have any tips, comments or suggestions, email me at jakub.krupa@theguardian.com.
I am also on Bluesky at @jakubkrupa.bsky.social and on X at @jakubkrupa.
Nordic correspondent
The Norwegian Labour party looked likely to remain in government as polls closed on Monday night, as preliminary results showed the centre-left had a narrow lead after a polarised election that saw a surge of support for the populist right.
With 75% of the vote counted, state broadcaster NRK projected the centre left would win with 89 seats and that the centre right would take 80 seats. A minimum of 85 seats are needed for a majority.
“It’s very close, but the centre-left is in the lead,” Johannes Bergh, the research director and principal investigator at the Norwegian national election studies programme at the Institute for Social Research, said after polls closed at 9pm local time. But, he added: “The Progress party is doing very well.”
According to forecasts, Labour, led by the prime minister, Jonas Gahr Støre, had clearly emerged as the largest party, but they also showed a big swell in support for the populist Progress party, which was projected to have doubled in size in the last four years.
Looking at the early projections, it’s worth noting that the anti-immigration populist Progress Party appears to be essentially doubling its result from the previous election in 2021.
Meanwhile, Nettavisen’s poll of 6,295 voters indicated an even bigger win for the leftwing bloc, giving it 92 seats to 77 for the conservative grouping and declaring it a “knockout” win for the Labour party.
The poll claims to see an indication of a very good result for the Green party, which it puts – in contrast to other projections – at 6.8% of the vote with 11 mandates in the new parliament. Let’s see if that holds.
TV2 has just updated its projection, giving the leftwing bloc 91 seats in the next parliament, with the rightwing bloc at 78.
Labour party 28.5% (54)
Progress party 23.7% (43)
Conservative party 14.8% (25)
Centre Party 6.8% (12)
Socialist Left 5.1% (9)
Red 5.1% (9)
Green party 4.1% (7)
Christian Democratic party 4.1% (7)
Liberal Party 3.7% (3)
Reminder: you need 85 for majority.
Nordic correspondent
Johannes Bergh, the research director and principal investigator at the Norwegian national election studies programme at the Institute for Social Research, says it is looking “very close” but that the centre-left is in the lead.
The populist rightwing Progress party is, he adds, “doing very well” though.
The first numbers and projections out of Norway suggest Jonas Gahr Støre will remain in power leading a government relying on smaller parties to pass key legislation, including budgets.
But as my colleague Miranda Bryant noted in her pre-election piece, Labour Party is likely to face drawn out negotiations with smaller leftwing parties, particularly over oil fund investment in Israel, which has led to popular finance minister Jens Stoltenberg coming under heavy scrutiny in recent weeks.
NRK broadcaster, projection:
Labour party 27.9% (52)
Progress party 23.9% (46)
Conservative party 14.6% (25)
Centre party 5.7% (10)
Socialist Left 5.6% (10)
Red party 5.4% (9)
Green party 4.6% (8)
Christian Democratic party 4.2% (7)
Liberal party 3.8% (2)
The leftwing bloc 89 seats
The rightwing bloc 80 seats
VG daily, projection:
Labour party 28%
Progress party 24.7%
Conservative party 14.4%
Centre party 5.7%
Socialist Left 5.5%
Red party 5.4%
Green party 4.6%
Christian Democratic party 4.1%
Liberal party 3.4%
The leftwing bloc 88 seats
The rightwing bloc 81 seats
Norway’s minority Labour party government is on course to narrowly win re-election in the country’s parliamentary election, projections by broadcasters NRK and TV2 and daily VG showed as voting ended, Reuters reported.
The leftwing bloc of Labour and four smaller parties was projected to win 87 or 88 seats, more than the 85 needed for a majority, while rightwing parties headed by Progress and the Conservatives were on track for 82 or 81 seats, the first two projections showed.
Norway’s Labour party government is expected to win re-election, projections by TV2 and public broadcaster NRK show.
